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| Construction of a Predictive Model for Post-Stroke Epilepsy Cognitive Impairment Based on Neurotrophic Factors and Quantitative Electroencephalography Indicators |
| LIU Xiao, LU Zhe |
| Department of Rehabilitation Medicine, the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanyang Medical College, Nanyang Henan 473003 |
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Abstract 【Objective】 To investigate the development of a predictive model for post-stroke epilepsy cognitive impairment (PSCI) in elderly patients, based on neurotrophic factors and quantitative electroencephalography (QEEG) indicators.【Methods】 A total of 106 elderly patients with post-stroke epilepsy were enrolled. According to the Montreal Cognitive Assessment-Basic (MoCA-B) scores, patients were divided into the PSCI (post-stroke epilepsy cognitive impairment) group (79 cases) and the PSCN (post-stroke epilepsy cognitive normal) group (27 cases). Serum levels of brain-derived neurotrophic factor (BDNF), nerve growth factor (NGF), and QEEG indicators [α wave, β wave, θ wave, δ wave ratio,θ/α(TAR), and (θ+δ)/(α+β)(DTABR) ratio] were compared between the two groups. Binary logistic regression analysis was used to identify influencing factors of PSCI in elderly patients with post-stroke epilepsy. A nomogram prediction model was then constructed, and its predictive performance and accuracy were evaluated.【Results】 The PSCI group showed lower BDNF and α-wave ratio, and higher NGF, θ wave ratio, TAR, and DTABR compared with the PSCN group (all P<0.05). There were no statistically significant differences in β wave or δ wave between the two groups (P>0.05). Logistic regression analysis indicated that BDNF and α wave ratio were protective factors for PSCI, while NGF, θ wave, TAR, and DTABR were risk factors. Model validation demonstrated a concordance index of 0.932, with the calibration curve closely aligned with the ideal curve, indicating good accuracy and consistency.【Conclusion】 A predictive model based on neurotrophic factors and QEEG indicators can effectively assess the risk of cognitive impairment in elderly patients with post-stroke epilepsy, providing a valuable reference for clinical practice.
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Received: 24 June 2025
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